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Red233
5194113.7
3875151.7
7289129.0
Blue379
3234128.9
4409152.1
6065139.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311307200250350400233379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#19
151.70.3
150.8151.1
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End16.6
blue by 0.5
4409
#10
152.10.8
144.3145.1
Auto18.0
Teleop117.0
End17.5
Second
7289
#20
129.00.8
119.6120.4
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End20.6
blue by 10.0
6065
#11
139.00.8
129.9130.7
Auto19.7
Teleop103.2
End15.1
Third
5194
#26
113.71.2
119.9118.8
Auto16.5
Teleop81.5
End18.2
blue by 15.1
3234
#13
128.90.9
122.8123.7
Auto15.3
Teleop98.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed