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Red246
244131.4
5473108.1
660092.7
Blue410
4325165.0
566496.1
4967142.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343330100200300400500600246410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#15
131.40.1
132.9133.0
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End12.6
blue by 33.6
165.01.4
151.3152.6
Auto16.7
Teleop125.2
End26.1
Second
5473
#31
108.10.8
104.9105.8
Auto18.4
Teleop83.0
End6.5
blue by 34.1
142.30.8
133.4132.6
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7
Third
6600
#34
92.71.6
93.191.5
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End8.5
blue by 3.3
5664
#28
96.10.5
94.193.6
Auto17.8
Teleop69.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed