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Red102
5963112.3
244131.4
5470120.6
Blue386
2771181.9
6065139.0
5256122.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249392100200300500600700102386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#15
131.40.6
133.0133.6
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End12.6
blue by 50.5
181.91.5
168.1169.7
Auto22.1
Teleop130.1
End33.9
Second
5470
#24
120.60.1
122.3122.4
Auto16.7
Teleop88.8
End10.7
blue by 18.4
6065
#11
139.01.2
133.7134.9
Auto19.7
Teleop103.2
End15.1
Third
5963
#27
112.30.6
114.4113.8
Auto17.4
Teleop80.2
End13.7
blue by 10.1
5256
#32
122.40.4
121.8121.3
Auto15.5
Teleop94.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed