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Red445
1918217.4
5194113.7
2767228.2
Blue151
858138.8
5963112.3
345895.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4971740100300400600700800445151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228.22.5
218.3220.8
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
red by 89.4
858
#17
138.80.3
139.1138.7
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End14.7
Second
217.40.7
210.8211.5
Auto23.6
Teleop157.8
End37.3
red by 105.1
5963
#27
112.30.1
111.8111.9
Auto17.4
Teleop80.2
End13.7
Third
5194
#26
113.70.2
114.2114.0
Auto16.5
Teleop81.5
End18.2
red by 18.5
3458
#30
95.30.4
95.795.3
Auto15.1
Teleop72.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
83%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed