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Red448
2771181.9
6090193.9
7234128.8
Blue294
4325165.0
4384134.5
288157.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401301100200500600448294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.91.5
184.5186.1
Auto24.1
Teleop140.6
End30.3
red by 28.9
165.01.6
157.5159.1
Auto16.7
Teleop125.2
End26.1
Second
181.90.3
172.0172.3
Auto22.1
Teleop130.1
End33.9
red by 24.5
288
#36
157.40.3
160.4160.1
Auto18.1
Teleop120.7
End19.8
Third
7234
#23
128.81.4
120.2121.6
Auto18.2
Teleop93.6
End17.2
blue by 5.7
4384
#35
134.50.8
135.8135.0
Auto17.2
Teleop111.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed