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Red263
7234128.8
7256122.0
904125.9
Blue468
660092.7
858138.8
2767228.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253950100300500600700800263468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7234
#23
128.81.4
121.6123.0
Auto18.2
Teleop93.6
End17.2
blue by 99.3
228.21.2
222.7223.9
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
Second
904
#29
125.90.0
124.8124.8
Auto17.9
Teleop91.4
End18.0
blue by 12.8
858
#17
138.80.2
138.2138.0
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End14.7
Third
7256
#22
122.01.0
122.8121.8
Auto15.0
Teleop90.9
End15.0
red by 29.3
6600
#34
92.70.5
90.390.8
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsEarned