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Red378
4855165.1
5069120.2
660092.7
Blue318
4482106.3
2771181.9
345895.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932980100200400500600700800378318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#21
165.11.3
160.0161.4
Auto18.6
Teleop119.2
End26.8
blue by 16.8
181.91.8
172.8174.6
Auto22.1
Teleop130.1
End33.9
Second
5069
#33
120.20.7
118.1118.9
Auto16.9
Teleop87.9
End15.4
red by 13.9
4482
#25
106.30.9
106.8105.9
Auto15.4
Teleop88.3
End2.9
Third
6600
#34
92.71.0
90.891.8
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End8.5
blue by 2.5
3458
#30
95.30.2
94.894.6
Auto15.1
Teleop72.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed