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Red450
4967142.3
2767228.2
244131.4
Blue114
7289129.0
660092.7
5963112.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4701770100300400600700800450114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228.21.6
223.9225.4
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
red by 99.1
7289
#20
129.00.2
128.8129.0
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End20.6
Second
142.31.2
138.5139.7
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7
red by 30.0
5963
#27
112.30.2
112.1112.3
Auto17.4
Teleop80.2
End13.7
Third
244
#15
131.40.3
131.6131.4
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End12.6
red by 38.7
6600
#34
92.71.0
91.892.7
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
63%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed