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Red417
7211135.4
5114150.3
5612140.7
Blue262
5524137.3
5517140.6
5282106.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353284100200400500600417262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.30.6
147.0147.7
Auto17.0
Teleop109.5
End26.4
red by 9.8
140.60.4
140.2140.6
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End22.4
Second
5612
#20
140.70.2
139.3139.5
Auto14.3
Teleop114.6
End10.2
red by 3.4
5524
#15
137.30.4
136.8137.3
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End15.8
Third
7211
#23
135.40.4
133.1133.5
Auto14.8
Teleop106.7
End13.9
red by 28.7
5282
#19
106.60.4
106.3106.6
Auto13.4
Teleop83.2
End11.0