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Red498
1322134.3
5561148.5
5234155.7
Blue157
5527118.9
5697128.2
5114150.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275278150200250300350400450498157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.74.6
106.2110.8
Auto21.9
Teleop108.9
End25.8
red by 5.4
150.35.1
120.6125.7
Auto17.0
Teleop109.5
End26.4
Second
148.55.9
105.8111.7
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
red by 20.4
5697
#21
128.27.9
103.8111.6
Auto16.2
Teleop94.9
End15.4
Third
1322
#17
134.36.7
111.9118.7
Auto16.3
Teleop94.3
End27.3
red by 15.4
5527
#27
118.95.5
96.8102.3
Auto16.3
Teleop87.9
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed