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Red171
5282106.6
5612140.7
5641100.0
Blue291
521497.0
5561148.5
6877116.9
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392940100200400500600171291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#20
140.75.5
125.6131.1
Auto14.3
Teleop114.6
End10.2
blue by 7.9
148.57.9
121.0128.9
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
Second
5282
#19
106.60.3
98.298.5
Auto13.4
Teleop83.2
End11.0
blue by 10.3
6877
#30
116.95.7
106.1111.9
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End13.9
Third
5641
#32
100.01.7
99.5101.1
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End5.1
red by 2.9
5214
#26
97.02.9
91.794.7
Auto11.9
Teleop80.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed