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Red243
894136.2
5067114.1
5612140.7
Blue283
7211135.4
6081116.4
2145149.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291297200250350400243283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#20
140.71.9
131.1133.1
Auto14.3
Teleop114.6
End10.2
blue by 8.9
149.64.4
135.1139.5
Auto13.1
Teleop120.0
End14.4
Second
894
#16
136.22.3
126.8129.2
Auto16.6
Teleop106.8
End13.2
red by 0.8
7211
#23
135.44.9
109.8114.7
Auto14.8
Teleop106.7
End13.9
Third
5067
#34
114.10.4
117.1117.5
Auto11.4
Teleop90.9
End12.2
blue by 2.3
6081
#31
116.40.5
112.2112.7
Auto13.6
Teleop86.2
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed