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Red328
2145149.6
7223107.2
5114150.3
Blue125
5641100.0
5517140.6
525189.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472080100300400500600328125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.33.6
131.8135.5
Auto17.0
Teleop109.5
End26.4
red by 9.8
140.62.6
132.7135.3
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End22.4
Second
149.63.9
139.5143.4
Auto13.1
Teleop120.0
End14.4
red by 49.6
5641
#32
100.01.2
100.5101.6
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End5.1
Third
7223
#22
107.21.5
111.9110.4
Auto12.4
Teleop84.7
End8.5
red by 17.4
5251
#38
89.82.7
103.8101.2
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed