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Red241
609192.6
3535175.9
5660112.3
Blue286
521497.0
5260135.4
5150160.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273293150200250350400241286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.97.7
153.9161.6
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
red by 15.0
5150
#14
160.94.3
145.6149.9
Auto18.1
Teleop123.6
End19.3
Second
5660
#29
112.30.2
113.4113.6
Auto13.1
Teleop84.5
End11.9
blue by 23.1
5260
#11
135.41.0
128.1127.1
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End20.3
Third
6091
#25
92.60.7
86.185.4
Auto11.5
Teleop72.8
End12.2
blue by 4.4
5214
#26
97.01.0
97.296.3
Auto11.9
Teleop80.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed