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Red388
70161.1
5166118.0
5524137.3
Blue151
525189.8
894136.2
5215121.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252620200400600800388151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
161.112.3
109.0121.3
Auto22.5
Teleop117.3
End19.5
red by 24.9
894
#16
136.213.5
97.7111.2
Auto16.6
Teleop106.8
End13.2
Second
5524
#15
137.315.4
80.195.5
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End15.8
red by 16.2
5215
#18
121.116.2
72.889.0
Auto17.7
Teleop89.7
End21.2
Third
5166
#33
118.014.1
92.2106.2
Auto15.5
Teleop91.0
End11.7
red by 28.2
5251
#38
89.817.4
62.279.5
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed