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Red274
525189.8
3568111.4
5524137.3
Blue303
3535175.9
1322134.3
521497.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2013570100300400500600274303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5524
#15
137.30.3
133.8133.5
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End15.8
blue by 38.6
175.93.3
166.8170.0
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
Second
3568
#35
111.40.5
107.3107.9
Auto15.2
Teleop85.3
End18.3
blue by 22.8
1322
#17
134.30.2
132.9133.1
Auto16.3
Teleop94.3
End27.3
Third
5251
#38
89.83.1
97.994.8
Auto12.4
Teleop76.7
End-2.5
blue by 7.2
5214
#26
97.00.1
96.095.9
Auto11.9
Teleop80.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed