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Red287
3535175.9
5260135.4
32289.5
Blue288
5282106.6
2145149.6
5527118.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288286220240260300320340360287288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.92.3
170.0172.3
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
red by 26.4
149.60.8
146.5147.3
Auto13.1
Teleop120.0
End14.4
Second
5260
#11
135.41.9
127.9129.8
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End20.3
red by 16.5
5527
#27
118.90.0
117.9118.0
Auto16.3
Teleop87.9
End16.2
Third
322
#37
89.51.2
91.590.3
Auto13.1
Teleop72.1
End5.5
blue by 17.1
5282
#19
106.62.7
99.7102.4
Auto13.4
Teleop83.2
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed