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Red276
4994138.2
6081116.4
1322134.3
Blue357
5517140.6
521497.0
7211135.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337265100200300400500276357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.21.4
133.7135.1
Auto22.5
Teleop103.3
End12.5
blue by 2.4
140.60.2
138.5138.7
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End22.4
Second
1322
#17
134.30.0
133.3133.3
Auto16.3
Teleop94.3
End27.3
blue by 1.1
7211
#23
135.42.0
128.4130.4
Auto14.8
Teleop106.7
End13.9
Third
6081
#31
116.40.0
115.9115.9
Auto13.6
Teleop86.2
End20.4
red by 19.3
5214
#26
97.00.2
96.096.2
Auto11.9
Teleop80.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed