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Red424
5260135.4
468118.2
1322134.3
Blue291
6081116.4
5150160.9
5561148.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276362100200400500600424291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#11
135.42.4
131.5133.8
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End20.3
blue by 25.6
5150
#14
160.90.5
160.6161.1
Auto18.1
Teleop123.6
End19.3
Second
1322
#17
134.30.4
133.3133.7
Auto16.3
Teleop94.3
End27.3
blue by 14.3
148.50.7
148.0148.8
Auto15.3
Teleop115.2
End19.8
Third
468
#28
118.20.7
118.9118.2
Auto14.7
Teleop85.8
End19.5
red by 1.9
6081
#31
116.40.4
115.9116.4
Auto13.6
Teleop86.2
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed