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Red130
3535175.9
2145149.6
6877116.9
Blue271
245166.9
4994138.2
609192.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326302150200250350400450500130271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.90.1
175.9175.9
Auto22.6
Teleop121.9
End31.4
red by 9.0
245
#8
166.90.7
164.9165.6
Auto18.5
Teleop120.7
End31.1
Second
149.60.0
149.5149.6
Auto13.1
Teleop120.0
End14.4
red by 11.4
138.20.3
137.2137.5
Auto22.5
Teleop103.3
End12.5
Third
6877
#30
116.90.1
117.1116.9
Auto15.5
Teleop86.0
End13.9
red by 24.3
6091
#25
92.60.5
91.191.7
Auto11.5
Teleop72.8
End12.2