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Qual 12018 Kettering Kickoff
Red310
2834204.9
2145150.6
245180.4
Blue286
1322170.2
302208.4
314148.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34436001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000310286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#4
204.91.2
193.8→195.0
Auto24.5
Teleop152.4
End27.6
blue by 3.5
302
#6
208.40.1
200.8→200.8
Auto20.0
Teleop166.5
End23.5
Second
245
#11
180.40.9
179.9→180.8
Auto18.7
Teleop129.2
End33.5
red by 10.2
1322
#20
170.21.9
162.9→164.8
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End30.3
Third
2145
#13
150.60.4
153.0→153.4
Auto16.5
Teleop115.6
End17.6
red by 2.0
314
#39
148.60.4
157.3→157.6
Auto18.2
Teleop115.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsEarned37%Face the Boss oddsMissed