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Red196
2137153.2
3534172.8
5502127.4
Blue423
3667167.8
548155.5
703149.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342327100200300400500600196423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#21
172.80.5
174.3174.8
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
red by 5.0
167.81.3
153.4154.7
Auto20.4
Teleop131.4
End18.3
Second
2137
#34
153.20.1
166.5166.4
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End13.8
blue by 2.3
548
#16
155.50.6
154.2153.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.4
End18.1
Third
5502
#36
127.40.6
131.8132.4
Auto16.5
Teleop94.5
End15.7
blue by 22.0
703
#23
149.51.0
147.2148.2
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed