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Red155
5907164.2
4779148.6
32282.2
Blue372
548155.5
245180.4
5053150.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2364130100200300500600700800155372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#28
164.21.4
164.9166.3
Auto17.6
Teleop126.4
End19.0
blue by 16.2
245
#11
180.40.0
181.3181.3
Auto18.7
Teleop129.2
End33.5
Second
4779
#38
148.61.4
157.8156.4
Auto20.6
Teleop110.4
End15.8
blue by 7.0
548
#16
155.50.2
153.6153.8
Auto17.2
Teleop120.4
End18.1
Third
322
#35
82.21.0
87.586.4
Auto12.5
Teleop63.5
End3.9
blue by 68.4
5053
#30
150.50.5
156.8156.3
Auto20.0
Teleop118.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed