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Red351
5660110.4
302208.4
503170.4
Blue331
1506178.4
32282.2
2337214.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330302100200400500351331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
208.41.0
204.1205.1
Auto20.0
Teleop166.5
End23.5
blue by 6.1
214.42.4
207.8210.2
Auto23.2
Teleop163.5
End30.4
Second
503
#8
170.40.7
171.2170.4
Auto23.0
Teleop120.4
End23.5
blue by 8.1
1506
#32
178.41.3
179.7178.4
Auto21.9
Teleop137.9
End16.9
Third
5660
#26
110.40.2
110.3110.4
Auto11.9
Teleop84.6
End14.9
red by 28.2
322
#35
82.20.9
83.182.2
Auto12.5
Teleop63.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed