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Red432
2337214.4
1684189.5
703149.5
Blue251
27217.7
4381161.9
2137153.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394316100200500600432251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
214.40.7
211.7212.5
Auto23.2
Teleop163.5
End30.4
blue by 3.3
27
#14
217.70.0
217.7217.8
Auto25.2
Teleop164.3
End29.4
Second
189.50.5
187.6188.1
Auto25.3
Teleop136.7
End27.7
red by 27.6
161.90.6
160.8161.4
Auto22.4
Teleop120.7
End18.9
Third
703
#23
149.50.1
149.2149.3
Auto20.4
Teleop115.8
End12.7
blue by 3.7
2137
#34
153.20.4
154.1153.7
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End13.8