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Red425
2834189.0
5501187.1
5708121.0
Blue254
4327131.6
5685112.3
7197129.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322350100300500600700800425254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.00.3
187.3187.6
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
red by 57.5
4327
#24
131.60.3
131.2131.6
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
Second
187.10.3
185.5185.7
Auto17.1
Teleop137.9
End34.9
red by 57.9
7197
#30
129.20.2
129.5129.2
Auto17.4
Teleop89.2
End24.0
Third
5708
#23
121.00.0
120.8120.7
Auto18.1
Teleop90.8
End12.4
red by 8.7
5685
#10
112.30.1
112.2112.3
Auto18.0
Teleop79.6
End17.4