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Red391
1677108.0
2834189.0
3658133.0
Blue203
5502131.5
7221106.8
7219101.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482230100300400500600391203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.02.1
171.7173.7
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
red by 57.6
5502
#11
131.50.1
133.0133.1
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
Second
133.01.3
119.1120.3
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3
red by 26.2
7221
#31
106.80.3
102.9103.2
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End15.8
Third
1677
#29
108.00.5
111.5111.0
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End6.1
red by 6.9
7219
#19
101.10.8
97.198.0
Auto16.0
Teleop76.7
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed