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Red70
5227108.8
6138122.4
5502131.5
Blue374
4327131.6
5501187.1
5685112.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27832610020040050070374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5502
#11
131.50.0
133.1133.1
Auto16.1
Teleop97.1
End18.4
blue by 55.7
187.11.4
170.6172.0
Auto17.1
Teleop137.9
End34.9
Second
6138
#33
122.41.1
129.1130.2
Auto17.7
Teleop92.9
End12.2
blue by 9.1
4327
#24
131.60.6
126.7127.3
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
Third
5227
#25
108.80.9
116.8115.9
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End17.0
blue by 3.5
5685
#10
112.30.1
107.6107.7
Auto18.0
Teleop79.6
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed