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Red342
5462157.8
7056151.0
514496.2
Blue206
7187161.5
658995.0
6588114.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335267100200300400500342206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#20
157.80.8
149.0149.8
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
blue by 3.7
161.50.3
149.4149.7
Auto21.9
Teleop113.8
End27.4
Second
7056
#16
151.01.6
138.8140.4
Auto18.2
Teleop104.7
End29.6
red by 36.6
6588
#15
114.41.2
115.0113.8
Auto19.2
Teleop85.0
End10.5
Third
5144
#35
96.21.8
103.7101.9
Auto13.8
Teleop75.0
End6.8
red by 1.2
6589
#40
95.00.0
89.389.3
Auto13.9
Teleop68.6
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed