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Red441
7187161.5
5688125.7
4482127.9
Blue213
658995.0
2054174.7
5227108.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012710100200400500600441213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.50.3
149.7150.1
Auto21.9
Teleop113.8
End27.4
blue by 13.2
174.71.3
167.9169.1
Auto22.8
Teleop125.9
End29.8
Second
4482
#26
127.90.6
108.8109.4
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
red by 19.1
5227
#25
108.81.6
115.9114.3
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End17.0
Third
5688
#14
125.70.8
126.7125.9
Auto18.8
Teleop92.7
End14.6
red by 30.6
6589
#40
95.00.1
89.389.4
Auto13.9
Teleop68.6
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed