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Red399
5708121.0
5462157.8
3658133.0
Blue168
4408107.0
720997.8
6138122.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332268100200300400500399168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#20
157.80.7
151.0151.7
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
red by 35.3
6138
#33
122.41.0
130.1129.0
Auto17.7
Teleop92.9
End12.2
Second
133.01.6
123.6125.2
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3
red by 26.1
4408
#38
107.00.5
119.5119.0
Auto18.5
Teleop80.8
End6.6
Third
5708
#23
121.00.4
112.5112.1
Auto18.1
Teleop90.8
End12.4
red by 23.2
7209
#28
97.80.0
106.3106.3
Auto13.5
Teleop75.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed