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Red217
6053109.7
5685112.3
7056151.0
Blue405
3688161.6
6119116.9
3656201.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2434130100200300500600217405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#16
151.01.3
142.1143.4
Auto18.2
Teleop104.7
End29.6
blue by 50.0
201.01.2
183.5184.6
Auto25.8
Teleop142.7
End32.2
Second
5685
#10
112.31.0
108.3109.3
Auto18.0
Teleop79.6
End17.4
blue by 49.3
3688
#17
161.60.1
160.0160.1
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
Third
6053
#21
109.70.6
108.4109.0
Auto15.7
Teleop81.7
End11.3
blue by 7.2
6119
#22
116.90.5
114.2114.7
Auto18.2
Teleop84.7
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed