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Red252
5685112.3
6642107.8
2054174.7
Blue233
4327131.6
720997.8
5462157.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113000100200400500600252233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.70.6
170.1170.6
Auto22.8
Teleop125.9
End29.8
red by 16.9
5462
#20
157.81.6
151.7153.3
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
Second
5685
#10
112.31.1
109.3110.4
Auto18.0
Teleop79.6
End17.4
blue by 19.3
4327
#24
131.60.3
128.1128.4
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
Third
6642
#27
107.80.1
103.6103.5
Auto16.7
Teleop81.1
End11.5
red by 10.0
7209
#28
97.80.7
106.3105.6
Auto13.5
Teleop75.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed