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Red140
5462157.8
7197129.2
658995.0
Blue473
5501187.1
2959185.1
5227108.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263408100200300500600700140473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#20
157.81.2
153.3154.5
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
blue by 29.3
187.11.6
176.3177.8
Auto17.1
Teleop137.9
End34.9
Second
7197
#30
129.20.0
136.0136.0
Auto17.4
Teleop89.2
End24.0
blue by 55.9
185.11.4
181.0182.4
Auto22.2
Teleop129.9
End33.5
Third
6589
#40
95.00.7
89.790.4
Auto13.9
Teleop68.6
End12.9
blue by 13.8
5227
#25
108.81.4
111.0109.6
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned