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Red242
6642107.8
6138122.4
5708121.0
Blue411
2834189.0
4482127.9
6011118.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2053780100300500600242411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6138
#33
122.41.4
127.4126.0
Auto17.7
Teleop92.9
End12.2
blue by 66.6
189.00.8
178.8179.6
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
Second
5708
#23
121.00.9
112.7113.6
Auto18.1
Teleop90.8
End12.4
blue by 6.9
4482
#26
127.91.4
113.2114.6
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
Third
6642
#27
107.80.7
103.5102.9
Auto16.7
Teleop81.1
End11.5
blue by 10.2
6011
#32
118.00.4
116.3116.7
Auto14.1
Teleop88.4
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed