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Red294
658995.0
5685112.3
6002120.8
Blue262
5535150.9
6580108.6
5708121.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313330100200300400500294262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120.81.0
112.0113.0
Auto18.1
Teleop90.9
End9.0
blue by 30.1
5535
#12
150.90.2
146.7146.5
Auto16.0
Teleop118.1
End17.0
Second
5685
#10
112.30.0
110.6110.6
Auto18.0
Teleop79.6
End17.4
blue by 8.7
5708
#23
121.01.1
113.6114.7
Auto18.1
Teleop90.8
End12.4
Third
6589
#40
95.00.0
90.490.4
Auto13.9
Teleop68.6
End12.9
blue by 13.6
6580
#36
108.60.1
108.8108.7
Auto18.9
Teleop77.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed