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Red291
1677108.0
5462157.8
5256122.0
Blue309
7056151.0
5227108.8
7222140.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334313150200250350400450291309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#20
157.80.2
154.5154.7
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
red by 6.8
7056
#16
151.00.7
146.1146.8
Auto18.2
Teleop104.7
End29.6
Second
5256
#39
122.00.3
120.7121.0
Auto15.3
Teleop90.2
End20.6
blue by 18.6
7222
#13
140.70.7
139.4138.6
Auto19.3
Teleop104.3
End19.0
Third
1677
#29
108.00.8
108.1109.0
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End6.1
blue by 0.8
5227
#25
108.80.4
109.6109.2
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed