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Red323
3656201.0
6580108.6
720997.8
Blue332
3688161.6
4482127.9
4327131.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833410100200400500600700323332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.02.3
190.0192.3
Auto25.8
Teleop142.7
End32.2
red by 39.4
3688
#17
161.60.3
159.2158.9
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
Second
6580
#36
108.60.4
108.6108.2
Auto18.9
Teleop77.7
End14.9
blue by 22.9
4327
#24
131.60.2
128.0128.2
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
Third
7209
#28
97.81.3
102.6101.3
Auto13.5
Teleop75.9
End7.9
blue by 30.1
4482
#26
127.92.1
118.3120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed