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Red522
2054174.7
7222140.7
1677108.0
Blue247
6011118.0
658995.0
3688161.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343275100200400500600522247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.70.4
167.7168.1
Auto22.8
Teleop125.9
End29.8
red by 13.1
3688
#17
161.60.9
159.3160.2
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
Second
7222
#13
140.70.1
138.3138.4
Auto19.3
Teleop104.3
End19.0
red by 22.7
6011
#32
118.00.3
119.6119.2
Auto14.1
Teleop88.4
End16.7
Third
1677
#29
108.01.1
108.6107.5
Auto15.9
Teleop86.6
End6.1
red by 12.9
6589
#40
95.01.3
92.193.4
Auto13.9
Teleop68.6
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed