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Red205
6588114.4
6011118.0
5182140.4
Blue364
6580108.6
4327131.6
6425118.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330275200300400500600205364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.41.6
136.3137.9
Auto18.9
Teleop99.8
End24.5
red by 8.8
4327
#24
131.60.6
129.0129.6
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
Second
6011
#32
118.00.6
119.2118.6
Auto14.1
Teleop88.4
End16.7
blue by 0.8
6425
#18
118.80.3
118.5118.2
Auto15.8
Teleop87.5
End14.9
Third
6588
#15
114.40.0
114.5114.5
Auto19.2
Teleop85.0
End10.5
red by 5.7
6580
#36
108.60.1
108.2108.1
Auto18.9
Teleop77.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed