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Red364
3658133.0
4482127.9
5227108.8
Blue241
6119116.9
5462157.8
5710109.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307305260280320340360364241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.00.4
129.4129.9
Auto17.5
Teleop100.4
End16.3
blue by 24.7
5462
#20
157.80.3
156.7157.0
Auto18.1
Teleop113.6
End27.2
Second
4482
#26
127.91.7
122.7124.4
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
red by 11.0
6119
#22
116.90.8
115.7116.5
Auto18.2
Teleop84.7
End16.7
Third
5227
#25
108.80.8
109.0108.3
Auto12.6
Teleop83.9
End17.0
blue by 0.6
5710
#37
109.40.5
110.5110.0
Auto20.0
Teleop80.6
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed