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Red408
2959185.1
6425118.8
3688161.6
Blue183
2834189.0
6138122.4
5256122.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354329200250300400450500408183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.10.7
187.1186.4
Auto22.2
Teleop129.9
End33.5
blue by 3.9
189.01.5
185.0186.5
Auto21.4
Teleop143.9
End27.8
Second
3688
#17
161.60.5
160.2160.7
Auto21.2
Teleop128.8
End11.7
red by 39.1
6138
#33
122.41.0
123.5122.4
Auto17.7
Teleop92.9
End12.2
Third
6425
#18
118.80.5
118.2118.8
Auto15.8
Teleop87.5
End14.9
blue by 3.3
5256
#39
122.00.2
122.8122.6
Auto15.3
Teleop90.2
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed