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Red149
4482127.9
6002120.8
5708121.0
Blue266
4327131.6
7222140.7
6588114.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322308150200250350400450149266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#26
127.92.6
124.4127.0
Auto17.4
Teleop100.5
End13.6
blue by 12.8
7222
#13
140.70.5
139.7140.2
Auto19.3
Teleop104.3
End19.0
Second
5708
#23
121.01.5
119.2120.8
Auto18.1
Teleop90.8
End12.4
blue by 10.6
4327
#24
131.61.3
129.6130.9
Auto15.2
Teleop100.5
End18.5
Third
120.81.4
119.4120.8
Auto18.1
Teleop90.9
End9.0
red by 6.4
6588
#15
114.40.2
114.5114.4
Auto19.2
Teleop85.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed