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Quarterfinal 2-22018 FIM District Lansing Event
Red287
2611158.6
5676149.8
7144131.8
Blue404
6556118.4
5205137.9
7056136.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382292100200500600287404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#6
158.60.5
157.6→158.2
Auto22.1
Teleop118.8
End16.3
red by 20.7
5205
#7
137.90.5
139.2→138.7
Auto18.9
Teleop107.8
End8.6
Second
5676
#5
149.80.8
148.2→149.1
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
red by 13.2
7056
#23
136.60.6
133.9→134.5
Auto15.8
Teleop98.8
End26.1
Third
7144
#18
131.80.1
131.7→131.8
Auto18.4
Teleop94.9
End18.1
red by 13.4
6556
#15
118.40.1
117.6→117.7
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3