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Red117
2611158.6
5676149.8
7144131.8
Blue445
6556118.4
5205137.9
7056136.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375301100200500600117445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.60.4
158.2158.6
Auto22.1
Teleop118.8
End16.3
red by 20.7
137.90.4
138.7138.3
Auto18.9
Teleop107.8
End8.6
Second
149.80.7
149.1149.8
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
red by 13.2
7056
#23
136.60.6
134.5135.2
Auto15.8
Teleop98.8
End26.1
Third
7144
#18
131.80.1
131.8131.8
Auto18.4
Teleop94.9
End18.1
red by 13.4
6556
#15
118.40.2
117.7117.8
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3