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Red317
6638103.7
7202127.3
302184.6
Blue184
4568116.7
5674184.6
5688128.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313300200250350400317184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
184.62.2
169.9172.1
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
blue by 0.1
184.60.6
176.2175.6
Auto21.3
Teleop134.2
End28.9
Second
7202
#21
127.313.1
77.790.9
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End14.9
blue by 1.0
5688
#20
128.39.4
97.1106.6
Auto17.2
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Third
6638
#37
103.78.3
94.5102.8
Auto15.6
Teleop83.5
End5.3
blue by 13.0
4568
#35
116.71.3
111.4112.6
Auto18.2
Teleop85.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed