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Red208
6556118.4
7221102.9
302184.6
Blue469
5238139.8
3357215.4
4216184.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2254290100200300400500208469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
184.62.1
172.1174.3
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
blue by 30.9
215.42.1
195.2197.3
Auto24.6
Teleop158.0
End33.6
Second
6556
#15
118.41.1
110.9112.0
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
blue by 66.0
184.41.8
172.0173.8
Auto24.8
Teleop139.2
End22.3
Third
7221
#38
102.96.0
92.598.5
Auto15.0
Teleop81.6
End9.1
blue by 36.9
5238
#10
139.81.5
133.7135.2
Auto17.1
Teleop104.2
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed