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Red406
5150167.7
6958114.4
6638103.7
Blue105
6592111.7
1504146.9
7101104.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102830100200400500600700800406105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.70.4
160.4160.0
Auto19.5
Teleop125.1
End27.3
red by 20.8
1504
#25
146.90.2
152.3152.1
Auto19.3
Teleop107.9
End17.7
Second
6958
#34
114.40.4
108.8108.4
Auto16.6
Teleop85.0
End14.5
red by 2.8
6592
#39
111.710.5
89.099.5
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End11.3
Third
6638
#37
103.76.8
102.8109.6
Auto15.6
Teleop83.5
End5.3
blue by 0.8
7101
#31
104.51.4
98.9100.2
Auto14.9
Teleop78.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed