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Red266
302184.6
7056136.6
4568116.7
Blue331
494208.0
6958114.4
6556118.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703190100200400500600700266331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
184.61.6
174.3175.8
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
blue by 23.4
494
#3
208.01.4
189.8191.2
Auto23.2
Teleop155.7
End29.7
Second
7056
#23
136.65.4
96.5102.0
Auto15.8
Teleop98.8
End26.1
red by 18.2
6556
#15
118.40.7
112.0112.7
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
Third
4568
#35
116.70.3
113.4113.7
Auto18.2
Teleop85.3
End12.1
red by 2.2
6958
#34
114.40.2
108.4108.6
Auto16.6
Teleop85.0
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed