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Red125
7101104.5
555999.7
7226112.7
Blue270
7289119.6
6556118.4
4568116.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233100100400500125270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#32
112.73.4
98.4101.7
Auto16.2
Teleop79.2
End21.2
blue by 7.0
7289
#24
119.62.3
102.8105.1
Auto15.4
Teleop91.9
End14.2
Second
7101
#31
104.50.2
100.1100.3
Auto14.9
Teleop78.4
End9.4
blue by 13.8
6556
#15
118.40.8
112.7113.6
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
Third
5559
#36
99.70.9
98.499.3
Auto15.2
Teleop74.9
End10.7
blue by 17.0
4568
#35
116.70.8
113.7114.5
Auto18.2
Teleop85.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed